LiveWire Economics Blog
LiveWire Economics Blog - November 5, 2007 9:52
Has the Housing Market Hit Bottom?
The epicenter of current market tremors is the depressed housing sector. As contrarians we need to consider whether the psychology is sufficiently pessimistic so as to create a bottom and thus offer a huge buying opportunity. Are we there yet? Has the housing market hit bottom or is there still more pain to come?
War Plans: United States and Iran
A possible U.S. attack against Iran has been a hot topic in the news for many months now. In some quarters it has become an article of faith that the Bush administration intends to order such an attack before it leaves office.
What Do Paulson, Bernanke and Greenspan Have in Common?
Firstly, before we get into this letter, a quick explanation of the new format.
Sub-Prime? So Over! Part II
ON AUGUST 8th THIS YEAR, just one day before the sudden and savage “credit crunch” that Alan Greenspan – former head of the US Federal Reserve – now says was “an accident waiting to happen”,
The GDP Equation
A recession is technically defined as two consecutive quarters of negative growth in the Gross Domestic Product (GDP).
The Slow Motion Recession
The market certainly seemed pleased with the new jobs number. The glass is more than half full – or is it?
Using Commodity Prices as an Inflation Calculator
Consumer Price Inflation has finally arrived and Gold will have its day in the sun yet. Not a day goes by without another financial institution getting bailed out.
The gold price is being driven by macro-economics and currencies.
We mentioned briefly in the market section at the start of this issue that there has been a change of tides, and possibly a change as fundamental as a change of current.
Here Comes A Whale
For almost a year now, we have been driving our clients crazy with Charles’s tired old metaphor about the global liquidity contraction, in which the central banks keep throwing in sticks of dynamite until the ocean finally disgorges a huge dead whale.
Britain’s Bank Run Coming to Main Street Soon?
On Wednesday this week the UK mortgage bank Northern Rock ran a banner advertisement across the bottom of The Daily Telegraph‘s front page.
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