LiveWire Economics Blog
LiveWire Economics Blog - March 28, 2008 11:03
Recession possible, but economists hopeful
The US government confirmed today (March 27) that the gross domestic product grew at a miniscule .6% during the fourth quarter of 2008. This matched previous analyst forecasts for the October through December quarter. Many economists will be watching closely during April, as the government issues its estimate for the first quarter 2008 GDP.
Moral Hazard, Merrill Lynch, Goldman Sachs, Spiders and Margin requirements
Now if that title doesn’t cause Google bots to have a happy hour I don’t know what will? There is a lot of talk about moral hazard being assumed in the Markets, what with the intervention of the Fed with Bear Stearns, the Bank of England with Northern Rock and the Bundesbank with a whole […]
Existing home sales up, home prices down
The last few weeks have seen some big developments in housing and credit markets, which continue to fight an uphill battle. The Fed jumped in to assist JPMorgan in its buyout of Bear Stearns, which had been on the verge of bankruptcy. Markets were inspired initially by the news, but were even more enthused when […]
The Federal – Structured Investment Vehicle – Reserve LLC
So, in the end the Fed decided to copy Enron and become a Special Purpose Vehicle, more commonly known these days as a Structured Investment Vehicle. (SIV) The Fed has granted itself the ability to morph by expanding its short term lending and borrowing facilities to such an extent it is now the market.
Oil and gold drop sharply as dollar rises
Oil and gold continued their brief, but sharp declines on Thursday (March 20) as US stocks regained much of their Wednesday losses, and the dollar remained firm in the midst of its hiatus from its long-term downward fall. Oil had been on a relentless climb up until three days ago when it peaked at $111 […]
A Reply to John Mauldin’s Outside The Box – Let’s Get Real About Bear
I have been, and still am, a long time fan of John Mauldin (JM). I enjoy his take on the bigger picture, even if there are areas I disagree with, from time to time. Generally my disagreements are more to do with the severity of a particular problem or the benefits of a highlight. For […]
Fed makes markets move with .75 point rate cut
In spite of the fact that a deep rate cut was widely expected to come out of today’s (March 18) Fed meeting, financial markets of all kinds reacted with much exuberance to the .75 point rate cut announcement that came in the early afternoon. Stocks, which had been up already with anticipation (Dow well over […]
Is The Next Victim In The United Kingdom?
Wow, what a day Monday was, fears of a meltdown, talk of intervention, the dollar getting pounded, Bear Stearns trading above the offer price, whatever next?
Pre-emptive warning of a major banking crisis
When asked what represented the greatest challenge for a statesman, British Prime Minister Harold Macmillan responded in his typically languid fashion, “Events, my dear boy, events.”
Dollar plummets under weight of oil, gold, and currencies
The dollar plummeted significantly again this week under renewed economic concerns. Many forecasters have projected that the US recession is no longer pending, but might be in progress. Financial markets will be watching closely after the end of the first quarter to see if growth has stalled.
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