Stock Market News
Week Ahead: Morrisons, M&S, Rightmove, BoE QE
02-11-2012 09:28
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The third quarter trading update season moves into overdrive next week, with statements from the likes of HSBC, Marks & Spencer (M&S), Associated British Foods, Aviva, Morrisons and RSA, plus controversy magnets G4S and Bumi. On the economic front, the Bank of England will reveal whether it is going to add to the asset purchase programme pot.
Panmure Gordon expects the downgrade cycle will continue at supermarket chain Morrisons, with the group seen under-performing the market all the way into fiscal 2014.
The broker is forecasting third quarter (Q3) like-for-like sales will have declined by 0.1%, which will put pressure on the profit & loss account.
"It has already announced Q1 and Q2 like-for-like sales declines of 1.0% and 0.9% (ex-petrol) respectively. Q3 has a slightly tougher comparable, but we look for a decline of 1%. New space is expected to add around 2.1% to sales growth in H1 [first half], so total sales growth should be just over 1% (ex-petrol). The last Kantar data for the 12 weeks to September 30 had Morrison growing at 0.0%, so the risk to our forecast seems to be on the downside," Panmure Gordon reckons.
Elsewhere in the retail sector, Seymour Pierce thinks Marks & Sparks will "do the normal trick of beating the whisper number".
Seymour Pierce is forecasting M&S will announce interim pre-tax profits of £285m, down by almost 10% year-on-year from last year's half-year number of £315m. That forecast puts the broker £5m above the median forecast among investment analysts covering the High Street bellwether stock.
Sales are tipped by the broker to edge up 1% to £4,750m, with like-for-like sales down 5.5% year-on-year on the General Merchandise side but up 1.5% in the Food halls. The dividend is expected to be held at 6p, Seymour Pierce's Freddie George said.
Property web site Rightmove's update on Thursday will provide a good opportunity for investors to catch up on trading and operational developments since the group's interims on August 1st, notes Roddy Davidson at Westhouse Securities.
"Next week's update will also provide a chance to gauge the company's recent experience of / expectations for the UK housing market, whether this accords with the weak and patchy environment suggested by recent surveys and whether government backed initiatives are stimulating activity. Finally, we will also look for feedback on whether the merger of Zoopla, Primelocation and FindaProperty (backed by DMGT and P.E. investors) has increased competitive tension," said Davidson, who reckons holders should bank profits ahead of the trading update.
Monday November 05
INTERIMS
Active Risk Group, E2V Technologies
INTERIM DIVIDEND PAYMENT DATE
Fiberweb, JZ Capital Partners Ltd, M. P. Evans Group, Mears Group, Morrison (Wm) Supermarkets, Nationwide Accident Repair Services, Northbridge Industrial Services, UK Select Trust Ltd.
QUARTERLY PAYMENT DATE
Dcg Iris Ltd Red Sterling
INTERNATIONAL ECONOMIC ANNOUNCEMENTS
ISM Non-Manufacturing (US) (15:00)
ISM Services (US) (15:00)
Q3
Inmarsat, PostNL NV
FINALS
Egdon Resources
IMSS
Hiscox Ltd., HSBC Holdings, Inmarsat, Telecity Group
AGMS
Merchant House Group, TR European Growth Trust
UK ECONOMIC ANNOUNCEMENTS
Official Reserves (09:30)
FINAL DIVIDEND PAYMENT DATE
CPL Resources, Stavert Zigomala
Tuesday November 06
INTERIMS
Babcock International Group, DCC, Endace Ltd, First Derivatives, Indian Hotels Company Ltd. GDR (Reg S), Marks & Spencer Group, Zhejiang Southeast Electric Power Co Ltd. GDR (Reg S)
INTERIM DIVIDEND PAYMENT DATE
Dillistone Group
INTERNATIONAL ECONOMIC ANNOUNCEMENTS
ABC Consumer Confidence (US) (21:00)
Factory Orders (GER) (11:00)
PMI Composite (GER) (08:55)
PMI Services (GER) (08:55)
Producer Price Index (EU) (10:00)
Q2
Indian Hotels Company Ltd. GDR (Reg S)
Q3
Banco Espirito Santo SA N Shs, InterContinental Hotels Group
GMS
JSC KazMunaiGaz Exploration Production GDR (Reg S)
FINALS
Associated British Foods
IMSS
Capital Shopping Centres Group, Kofax, PPHE Hotel Group Ltd
AGMS
A&J Mucklow Group, Animalcare Group, Asian Citrus Holding, CAP-XX Ltd., Eurocommercial Properties NV, Kofax, Psource Structured Debt Ltd., Sirius Real Estate Ltd.
UK ECONOMIC ANNOUNCEMENTS
BRC Sales Monitor (00:01)
Industrial Production (09:30)
Manufacturing Production (09:30)
Q1
Kofax
Wednesday November 07
INTERIMS
Burberry Group, Canaccord Financial Inc., FirstGroup, Vedanta Resources
INTERIM DIVIDEND PAYMENT DATE
Bodycote, Carillion, SIG, StatPro Group
INTERIM EX-DIVIDEND DATE
Amati VCT , Andrews Sykes Group, BlackRock Smaller Companies Trust, Bunzl, Elderstreet VCT, Maven Income & Growth VCT, Pace, Scottish Mortgage Inv Trust, SThree, Stobart Group Ltd., Whitbread
QUARTERLY EX-DIVIDEND DATE
Barclays, BP, IBM Corp.
INTERNATIONAL ECONOMIC ANNOUNCEMENTS
Consumer Credit (US) (20:00)
Crude Oil Inventories (US) (15:30)
Industrial Production (GER) (11:00)
MBA Mortgage Applications (US) (12:00)
PMI Construction (GER) (08:55)
Retail Sales (EU) (10:00)
Q2
Canaccord Financial Inc.
Q3
Mood Media Corp. (DI), Randgold Resources Ltd., Smurfit Kappa Group
IMSS
4Imprint Group, Aer Lingus Group, Capital & Counties Properties , G4S, Old Mutual, Playtech Ltd., RPS Group
AGMS
Hays, Public Service Properties Investments Ltd (DI), Schroder Japan Growth Fund, Sinclair Is Pharma
UK ECONOMIC ANNOUNCEMENTS
BRC Shop Price Index (00:01)
FINAL DIVIDEND PAYMENT DATE
Begbies Traynor Group, Photo-Me International
FINAL EX-DIVIDEND DATE
Ashmore Group, Asian Citrus Holding, Centaur Media, Craneware, Dechra Pharmaceuticals, Genus, Hargreaves Services, James Halstead, JPMorgan Overseas Inv Trust, Jupiter Primadona Growth Trust, London Finance & Investment Group, Manchester & London Inv Trust, Matchtech Group, Regenersis, Sherborne Investors (Guernsey) 'A' Shares, Swallowfield, Third Point Offshore Investors Ltd. EUR Shares, Third Point Offshore Investors Ltd. GBP Shares, Third Point Offshore Investors Ltd. USD Shares
Thursday November 08
INTERIMS
3i Infrastructure, BTG, Cable & Wireless Communications, Charles Stanley Group, Dairy Crest Group, Electrocomponents, Experian, Flybe Group, Shanks Group, Tate & Lyle
INTERIM DIVIDEND PAYMENT DATE
British American Inv Trust, Petropavlovsk, Yule Catto & Co
INTERNATIONAL ECONOMIC ANNOUNCEMENTS
Balance of Trade (GER) (07:00)
Balance of Trade (US) (13:30)
Bloomberg Consumer Confidence (US) (14:45)
Continuing Claims (US) (13:30)
Current Account (GER) (07:00)
ECB Interest Rate (EU) (12:45)
Initial Jobless Claims (US) (13:30)
Retail Price Index (GER) (07:00)
Q3
Coca-Cola HBC S.A., Corio NV, Lancashire Holdings, Talvivaara Mining Company
ANNUAL REPORT
Associated British Foods
IMSS
Aviva, Balfour Beatty, Bumi, Eurasian Natural Resources Corp., Hammerson, Hardy Oil & Gas, Howden Joinery Group, Morrison (Wm) Supermarkets, Reed Elsevier, Rightmove, RSA Insurance Group, Schroders, Schroders (Non-Voting), Spirent Communications, Supergroup, Trinity Mirror, Wetherspoon (J.D.), Yule Catto & Co
EGMS
Palmaris Capital
AGMS
Craneware, Genus, IndigoVision Group, Macau Property Opportunities Fund Ltd., New Star Investment Trust, Wetherspoon (J.D.)
UK ECONOMIC ANNOUNCEMENTS
Balance of Trade (09:30)
BoE Interest Rate Decision (12:00)
FINAL DIVIDEND PAYMENT DATE
Edge Performance VCT 'D' Shares, Edge Performance VCT 'E' Shares, Edge Performance VCT 'F' Shares, Edge Performance VCT G Shares, Penna Consulting
Friday November 09
INTERIM DIVIDEND PAYMENT DATE
Capital Lease Aviation, Cobham, Huntsworth, Hydrogen Group, Johnson Service Group, Maven Income & Growth 2 VCT, office2office, Rightmove, Spectris, Spirax-Sarco Engineering, Staffline Group, Unite Group
QUARTERLY PAYMENT DATE
British Land Co
INTERNATIONAL ECONOMIC ANNOUNCEMENTS
Consumer Price Index (GER) (07:00)
Import and Export Price Indexes (US) (13:30)
U. of Michigan Confidence (Prelim) (US) (15:00)
Wholesales Inventories (US) (15:00)
Q3
Hellenic Telecom Industries SA ADS, International Consolidated Airlines Group SA (CDI)
GMS
Tangent Communications
IMSS
Beazley, EnQuest, Rolls-Royce Holdings, Tullett Prebon
SPECIAL DIVIDEND PAYMENT DATE
TR European Growth Trust
AGMS
Amur Minerals Corporation NPV, Jupiter Energy Ltd
TRADING ANNOUNCEMENTS
Rentokil Initial
FINAL DIVIDEND PAYMENT DATE
Daejan Holdings, JPMorgan Mid Cap Inv Trust, TR European Growth Trust
Panmure Gordon expects the downgrade cycle will continue at supermarket chain Morrisons, with the group seen under-performing the market all the way into fiscal 2014.
The broker is forecasting third quarter (Q3) like-for-like sales will have declined by 0.1%, which will put pressure on the profit & loss account.
"It has already announced Q1 and Q2 like-for-like sales declines of 1.0% and 0.9% (ex-petrol) respectively. Q3 has a slightly tougher comparable, but we look for a decline of 1%. New space is expected to add around 2.1% to sales growth in H1 [first half], so total sales growth should be just over 1% (ex-petrol). The last Kantar data for the 12 weeks to September 30 had Morrison growing at 0.0%, so the risk to our forecast seems to be on the downside," Panmure Gordon reckons.
Elsewhere in the retail sector, Seymour Pierce thinks Marks & Sparks will "do the normal trick of beating the whisper number".
Seymour Pierce is forecasting M&S will announce interim pre-tax profits of £285m, down by almost 10% year-on-year from last year's half-year number of £315m. That forecast puts the broker £5m above the median forecast among investment analysts covering the High Street bellwether stock.
Sales are tipped by the broker to edge up 1% to £4,750m, with like-for-like sales down 5.5% year-on-year on the General Merchandise side but up 1.5% in the Food halls. The dividend is expected to be held at 6p, Seymour Pierce's Freddie George said.
Property web site Rightmove's update on Thursday will provide a good opportunity for investors to catch up on trading and operational developments since the group's interims on August 1st, notes Roddy Davidson at Westhouse Securities.
"Next week's update will also provide a chance to gauge the company's recent experience of / expectations for the UK housing market, whether this accords with the weak and patchy environment suggested by recent surveys and whether government backed initiatives are stimulating activity. Finally, we will also look for feedback on whether the merger of Zoopla, Primelocation and FindaProperty (backed by DMGT and P.E. investors) has increased competitive tension," said Davidson, who reckons holders should bank profits ahead of the trading update.
Monday November 05
INTERIMS
Active Risk Group, E2V Technologies
INTERIM DIVIDEND PAYMENT DATE
Fiberweb, JZ Capital Partners Ltd, M. P. Evans Group, Mears Group, Morrison (Wm) Supermarkets, Nationwide Accident Repair Services, Northbridge Industrial Services, UK Select Trust Ltd.
QUARTERLY PAYMENT DATE
Dcg Iris Ltd Red Sterling
INTERNATIONAL ECONOMIC ANNOUNCEMENTS
ISM Non-Manufacturing (US) (15:00)
ISM Services (US) (15:00)
Q3
Inmarsat, PostNL NV
FINALS
Egdon Resources
IMSS
Hiscox Ltd., HSBC Holdings, Inmarsat, Telecity Group
AGMS
Merchant House Group, TR European Growth Trust
UK ECONOMIC ANNOUNCEMENTS
Official Reserves (09:30)
FINAL DIVIDEND PAYMENT DATE
CPL Resources, Stavert Zigomala
Tuesday November 06
INTERIMS
Babcock International Group, DCC, Endace Ltd, First Derivatives, Indian Hotels Company Ltd. GDR (Reg S), Marks & Spencer Group, Zhejiang Southeast Electric Power Co Ltd. GDR (Reg S)
INTERIM DIVIDEND PAYMENT DATE
Dillistone Group
INTERNATIONAL ECONOMIC ANNOUNCEMENTS
ABC Consumer Confidence (US) (21:00)
Factory Orders (GER) (11:00)
PMI Composite (GER) (08:55)
PMI Services (GER) (08:55)
Producer Price Index (EU) (10:00)
Q2
Indian Hotels Company Ltd. GDR (Reg S)
Q3
Banco Espirito Santo SA N Shs, InterContinental Hotels Group
GMS
JSC KazMunaiGaz Exploration Production GDR (Reg S)
FINALS
Associated British Foods
IMSS
Capital Shopping Centres Group, Kofax, PPHE Hotel Group Ltd
AGMS
A&J Mucklow Group, Animalcare Group, Asian Citrus Holding, CAP-XX Ltd., Eurocommercial Properties NV, Kofax, Psource Structured Debt Ltd., Sirius Real Estate Ltd.
UK ECONOMIC ANNOUNCEMENTS
BRC Sales Monitor (00:01)
Industrial Production (09:30)
Manufacturing Production (09:30)
Q1
Kofax
Wednesday November 07
INTERIMS
Burberry Group, Canaccord Financial Inc., FirstGroup, Vedanta Resources
INTERIM DIVIDEND PAYMENT DATE
Bodycote, Carillion, SIG, StatPro Group
INTERIM EX-DIVIDEND DATE
Amati VCT , Andrews Sykes Group, BlackRock Smaller Companies Trust, Bunzl, Elderstreet VCT, Maven Income & Growth VCT, Pace, Scottish Mortgage Inv Trust, SThree, Stobart Group Ltd., Whitbread
QUARTERLY EX-DIVIDEND DATE
Barclays, BP, IBM Corp.
INTERNATIONAL ECONOMIC ANNOUNCEMENTS
Consumer Credit (US) (20:00)
Crude Oil Inventories (US) (15:30)
Industrial Production (GER) (11:00)
MBA Mortgage Applications (US) (12:00)
PMI Construction (GER) (08:55)
Retail Sales (EU) (10:00)
Q2
Canaccord Financial Inc.
Q3
Mood Media Corp. (DI), Randgold Resources Ltd., Smurfit Kappa Group
IMSS
4Imprint Group, Aer Lingus Group, Capital & Counties Properties , G4S, Old Mutual, Playtech Ltd., RPS Group
AGMS
Hays, Public Service Properties Investments Ltd (DI), Schroder Japan Growth Fund, Sinclair Is Pharma
UK ECONOMIC ANNOUNCEMENTS
BRC Shop Price Index (00:01)
FINAL DIVIDEND PAYMENT DATE
Begbies Traynor Group, Photo-Me International
FINAL EX-DIVIDEND DATE
Ashmore Group, Asian Citrus Holding, Centaur Media, Craneware, Dechra Pharmaceuticals, Genus, Hargreaves Services, James Halstead, JPMorgan Overseas Inv Trust, Jupiter Primadona Growth Trust, London Finance & Investment Group, Manchester & London Inv Trust, Matchtech Group, Regenersis, Sherborne Investors (Guernsey) 'A' Shares, Swallowfield, Third Point Offshore Investors Ltd. EUR Shares, Third Point Offshore Investors Ltd. GBP Shares, Third Point Offshore Investors Ltd. USD Shares
Thursday November 08
INTERIMS
3i Infrastructure, BTG, Cable & Wireless Communications, Charles Stanley Group, Dairy Crest Group, Electrocomponents, Experian, Flybe Group, Shanks Group, Tate & Lyle
INTERIM DIVIDEND PAYMENT DATE
British American Inv Trust, Petropavlovsk, Yule Catto & Co
INTERNATIONAL ECONOMIC ANNOUNCEMENTS
Balance of Trade (GER) (07:00)
Balance of Trade (US) (13:30)
Bloomberg Consumer Confidence (US) (14:45)
Continuing Claims (US) (13:30)
Current Account (GER) (07:00)
ECB Interest Rate (EU) (12:45)
Initial Jobless Claims (US) (13:30)
Retail Price Index (GER) (07:00)
Q3
Coca-Cola HBC S.A., Corio NV, Lancashire Holdings, Talvivaara Mining Company
ANNUAL REPORT
Associated British Foods
IMSS
Aviva, Balfour Beatty, Bumi, Eurasian Natural Resources Corp., Hammerson, Hardy Oil & Gas, Howden Joinery Group, Morrison (Wm) Supermarkets, Reed Elsevier, Rightmove, RSA Insurance Group, Schroders, Schroders (Non-Voting), Spirent Communications, Supergroup, Trinity Mirror, Wetherspoon (J.D.), Yule Catto & Co
EGMS
Palmaris Capital
AGMS
Craneware, Genus, IndigoVision Group, Macau Property Opportunities Fund Ltd., New Star Investment Trust, Wetherspoon (J.D.)
UK ECONOMIC ANNOUNCEMENTS
Balance of Trade (09:30)
BoE Interest Rate Decision (12:00)
FINAL DIVIDEND PAYMENT DATE
Edge Performance VCT 'D' Shares, Edge Performance VCT 'E' Shares, Edge Performance VCT 'F' Shares, Edge Performance VCT G Shares, Penna Consulting
Friday November 09
INTERIM DIVIDEND PAYMENT DATE
Capital Lease Aviation, Cobham, Huntsworth, Hydrogen Group, Johnson Service Group, Maven Income & Growth 2 VCT, office2office, Rightmove, Spectris, Spirax-Sarco Engineering, Staffline Group, Unite Group
QUARTERLY PAYMENT DATE
British Land Co
INTERNATIONAL ECONOMIC ANNOUNCEMENTS
Consumer Price Index (GER) (07:00)
Import and Export Price Indexes (US) (13:30)
U. of Michigan Confidence (Prelim) (US) (15:00)
Wholesales Inventories (US) (15:00)
Q3
Hellenic Telecom Industries SA ADS, International Consolidated Airlines Group SA (CDI)
GMS
Tangent Communications
IMSS
Beazley, EnQuest, Rolls-Royce Holdings, Tullett Prebon
SPECIAL DIVIDEND PAYMENT DATE
TR European Growth Trust
AGMS
Amur Minerals Corporation NPV, Jupiter Energy Ltd
TRADING ANNOUNCEMENTS
Rentokil Initial
FINAL DIVIDEND PAYMENT DATE
Daejan Holdings, JPMorgan Mid Cap Inv Trust, TR European Growth Trust
| Related share prices |
|---|
| Marks & Spencer Group (MKS) share price |
| Morrison (Wm) Supermarkets (MRW) share price |
| Rightmove (RMV) share price |
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